Posted by admin | Posted in union rags | Posted on 05-05-2012-05-2008
Trainer Shivananda Parbhoo said it best: This is going to be one crazy Derby.
And he made it crazier by entering his speedball Trinniberg, even though he’s never raced farther than seven furlongs.
Parbhoo said he hasn’t seen a Derby like this for depth of talent in the past decade: there are lots of speed horses, but there also are a number of strong closers, too. that means lots of room for drama.
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Trinniberg set a torrid pace at the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint last November, but fell back and finished seventh in a nine-horse race. (AP Photo)
the mere presence of a horse this fast out of the break will affect the outcome. There are a handful of other brilliant Grade 1 winners in this Derby that have won previously by setting the pace: juvenile champion Hansen, brilliant and precocious Bodemeister and the blue-blooded Take Charge Indy.
Then there’s Trinniberg, who flew the first quarter mile of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint last November at Churchill Downs in a torrid 20.8 seconds—and finished seventh, beaten by 1½ lengths.
And don’t forget Trinniberg’s sire, Teuflesberg, the sprinter who tired to finish 17th in the 2007 Derby. Sprinters in the Derby often carry others into defeat with them. Case in point: Groovy sped the first half of the 1986 Derby in 45.20 seconds and finished last. But every horse that ran within 14 lengths of Groovy at the half wound up staggering home, too.
Parbhoo doesn’t lack confidence in his colt and hopes Trinniberg will be within the top five early. But then he’ll have to jockey for position early with the other speed horses in the race. that likely means he’ll want to carry Hansen—who starts outside of him—to the outside as long as possible going into the first turn.
Inside of Trinniberg, though, will be Take Charge Indy. He’ll break from Post 3 mounted by Calvin Borel, who isn’t known as “Bo-Rail” for nothing—think Street Sense and 50 to 1 shot mine that Bird.
Bodemeister will break from Post 6, closer to the rail than Trinniberg, meaning he’ll have to pick it up early if he wants position. Parbhoo hopes for a 48-second first half (they ran the half in 48 and 3/5 seconds last year), but he likely won’t get it with three other strong speed horses in the field. If Trinniberg has to run 45 or 46 seconds for the first half, Parbhoo said he’ll stop watching. after Trinniberg ran that 20.8-second first quarter last November, he walked away, too.
as for the rest, Union Rags has an inside post that will allow him to draft in behind the reckless leaders—and with a fast pace, the field will be more strung out, causing less dirt kickback for trailers.
the fast pace also should help horses like Creative cause perfectly, says trainer Mike Harrington, but all week long the backstretch buzz has screamed that the grey colt would be a scratch for the Derby, felled by a foot injury, perhaps caused by losing a shoe in a previous race.
“I don’t know where the hell that came from,” Harrington growled Friday morning. “I don’t know where this stuff starts. I’m not going to scratch my horse … People seem to think (losing shoes) is a really big deal. Horses lose shoes everyday.”
Harrington said Creative cause came bouncing off the track Friday morning, but the handsome colt only walked/jogged and did little to stretch his legs. If Creative cause is intact, he’ll be a threat. he sits in behind the leaders, something like Union Rags.
Then there’s Dullahan, one of the inside horses that won’t be using his starting slot to gain advantage near the front. He’s going to sit back and wait for the speedsters on the front end to lose steam. Then he’ll go to his strong stretch kick, much like the one mine that Bird used to win in 2009.
Parbhoo is convinced that Trinniberg can get the distance, by the way he’s been training. “People are going to hope he’ll come back in the race,” he said. “But they’ll have to wait a long time … If they let us go to the front, they’re going to have to work hard to catch him.”